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Friday, December 12, 2008

The Risk of Predictions 

It is always risky to predict the future. No one really knows what is going to happen. So these predictions serve as a cautionary lesson from people who should have known better. They were certain about a future that did not occur, and in some cases they harmed those who believed them. If one must predict the future, it is always best to hedge what one says. For example, given conditions now, it appears that the next six months will be as follows..." There is no credibility in being bold and wrong.

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