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Thursday, May 18, 2023

Confirmation Bias 

The FBI has demonstrated what can happen when one acts with confirmation bias.  Evidence that fits an understanding is kept.  Evidence that doesn't is ignored.  This is the insight revealed in the Durham report, a 306-page examination of the charge that the Trump campaign had colluded with Russians to win the 2016 election. It portrays the FBI as a group of bunglers who should have known better, and it is a black mark on the agency's reputation.  Certainly the agency's professionals knew that they had to be objective in their approach to the case, but they weren't.  They made assumptions and proceeded to make a mess.  It is a lesson worth studying.  How often do we work with confirmation bias, sorting facts according to our prior understanding?  How often do we want something to be so we will it into existence in the face of contrary evidence?  


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